Messages that could help avert the worst-case scenario in a Russian-Ukrainian war


As the drumbeat of the war in Ukraine that could spill over to World War III is ringing loudly, here are some messages that could help avert the worst-case scenario.

OSCE – Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe

Excerpts from ISTANBUL DOCUMENT 1999

8. Each participating State has an equal right to security. We reaffirm the inherent right of each participating state to be free to choose or modify its security arrangements, including alliance treaties, as they evolve. Each state also has the right to neutrality. Each participating State will respect the rights of all others in this regard. They will not strengthen their security at the expense of the security of other states.

9. We will build our relations in accordance with the concept of common and comprehensive security, guided by equal partnership, solidarity and transparency. The security of each participating State is inseparably linked to that of all the others. We will address the human, economic, political and military dimensions of security as a whole.


Opposition to NATO enlargement

We, the undersigned, believe that the current US-led effort to expand NATO, at the center of the recent Helsinki and Paris summits, is a political mistake of historic proportions. We believe NATO enlargement will diminish Allied security and disrupt European stability…….

Signed by 50 prominent US foreign policy experts including former senators, retired military officers, diplomats and academics who sent an open letter to President Clinton outlining their opposition to the alliance expansion.

Among the signatories, such distinguished personalities as Sam Nunn, Gordon Humphrey, Bill Bradley, Fred Ikle, Richard Pipes, Susan Eisenhower, Jack Matlock, Stansfield Turner, Robert McNamara, Arthur Hartman, Paul Warnke, Mark Hatfield, Paul Nitze and many others. ‘others.


David Vine, Professor of Anthropology, American University

Given the death, injury, and destruction that 20 years of endless US-led wars have inflicted, shouldn’t we all be wondering if we taught wars?

The wars have been accompanied by violations of human rights and civil liberties, in the United States and abroad.

More than 929,000 people died in the wars that followed 9/11 due to the direct violence of war, and many times more due to the effects of war.

More than 387,000 civilians have been killed as a result of the fighting 38 million — the number of war refugees and displaced persons.

The US federal price tag for post-9/11 wars is over $8 trillion.


George F. Kennan, former US Ambassador to Moscow

“If the Soviet Union were to sink under the waters of the ocean tomorrow, the American military-industrial establishment would have to continue, virtually unchanged, until another adversary could be invented. Anything else would be an unacceptable shock to the US economy.

“To put it bluntly… NATO enlargement would be the most fatal mistake of American policy in the entire post-Cold War era. Such a decision can be expected to inflame nationalist, anti-Western and militarist tendencies in Russian opinion; harm the development of Russian democracy; to restore the atmosphere of the Cold War in East-West relations, and to push Russian foreign policy in directions decidedly not to our liking…”


Major arms companies boast that Ukraine-Russia tensions are a boon for business

As the United States becomes more involved in the growing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, some of the world’s largest arms companies – Raytheon and Lockheed Martin – openly tell their investors that tensions between the countries are good for business. And General Dynamics, meanwhile, brags about past performance the company has had following such disputes.

The statements come as the US government steps up arms shipments to Ukraine, including Javelin missiles which are a joint venture between Raytheon and Lockheed Martin. House Democrats, meanwhile, are trying to quickly pass a bill that would dramatically increase US military aid to Ukraine and impose new sanctions on Russia.


Historian Anton Chaitkin, author of Who We Are: America’s Fight for Universal Progress, from Franklin to Kennedy (Volume 1, 2020,

Those who cherish our country’s heritage are horrified by America’s headlong rush toward war. We were once the source of global progress and rising living standards. We betray that heritage by issuing military threats against those who advance the great powers, as we once were. We changed course after the Kennedy murder. The gravest danger now comes from America’s abandonment of its own historic mission to uplift the common man.


A group of American researchers published an article in the American Journal of Public Health, pointing out that “Since the end of the Second World War, there have been 248 armed conflicts in 153 places around the world. The United States launched 201 military operations abroad between the end of World War II and 2001, and since then others, including Afghanistan and Iraq. Certainly, each of these wars has been duly explained and justified to the American public and to all those Americans who believe that their government will never deceive them; every war was defensible and fought for a good reason. Nevertheless, the fact that a country has started more than 80% of all wars in the last seventy years requires an explanation.


For America and Russia, deadly perceptions can lead to war

George Beebe, former director of Russian analyzes at the CIA

There is still time for diplomacy to avoid such an escalation. But that will only be possible if Washington and Moscow recognize the need to overcome mutual threats and find a face-saving compromise on their core concerns: the Russian demand that NATO withdraw from their periphery and the insistence of the West to protect Eastern Europe from Russian attack.


The incurable anti-Russian attitude in Washington is self-defeating

Colonel Douglas Macgregor, former senior Pentagon adviser

We could have been an honest broker and tried to help both sides find some sort of settlement, but we did everything we could to cultivate hostility towards Russia in Ukraine.


Who are you going to believe about the invasion of Russia Ukraine?

Andrew Bacevich, President, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

While the danger of miscalculation persists, a nonviolent resolution to the fear of the ongoing war is eminently plausible. Which makes the relentless warmongering of the American media all the more disturbing and repugnant.

Americans are living through one of those who-ya-will-believe moments. Yet another full-fledged war scare is upon us with reports that Russia will invade Ukraine. This involves an adversary with considerably greater military capabilities than Afghanistan or Iraq, where, you will recall, our side did not do well. It should be remembered that Russia has the largest nuclear arsenal in the world.


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